Housekeeping: As always, 1-4 seeded teams with negative turnover margins make the sweet 16 at a 40% lower rate than those who hold onto...

Really rough week last week. Worst one ever lmao

21-17 through week 1 with one to go. Still a lot of noise from prior season in there. Still a little noise with last seasons games...

Top seeds here on paper have a lot of good profiles. Houston opens it up in Memphis which is not an ideal location. They did already...

Another Year another bracket. Gonna Start with updates to the model and the general tricks. Regression from end of last year removed...

NIU 33(-5.5) vs CMU 27 Buffalo 14 (+15.5) vs Toledo 27 Ball State 12 vs Bowling Green (-5.5) 24 Kent State 19 vs Akron (-6) 25 TCU (+3)...

Noticed FCS games weren't getting penalized enough with SOS, made an adjustment there. Tuesday MTS 24 vs. Liberty (-14.5) 46 WKU 21 vs....

Tuesday LA Tech (+3) 26 vs MTSU 27 Liberty (-7) 31 vs Jacksonville State 19 Coastal Carolina (+5) 30 vs. App State 31 Wednesday UTEP 20...

Jax State (+3.5) 27 NTSU 22 FIU 23 vs New Mexico State (-6)+14 Sam Houston 3 vs Liberty (-18.5) 28 WKU 26 vs La Tech 24 (+5.5) Kansas...

Pod1: Birmingham,AL. My little sheet doesn't take into notice where the games are at, otherwise i do like auburns chances against Iowa...

Pod 1:Birminghham, AL Alabama might have one of the strongest resumes of any team in the bracket. Both Maryland and West Virginia don't...

Let's start out with a little chaos and preface to some of the "offline" reccomendations for brackets -1-4 seeds with a negative turnover...

Thursday UTah state 7 vs. BYU (-24.5) 40 Friday Tulane (outright +2.5) 24 vs Houston 21 UTSA 25 vs. MTSU (-4.5) 30 SDSU (+6) 10 vs. Boise...

73-62 YTD West Virginia (-1.5) 34 vs Virginia Tech 24 Coastal Carolina (-2.5) 26 vs. Ga State 16 Virginia 12 vs Syracuse (-10.5) 37...

Thursday Louisville (+5.5) 26 vs. UCF 18 Boise State (-17) 26 vs New Mexico 5 Saturday Alabama (-20) 37.2 vs. Texas 16.9 Arkansas State...

Alrighty, 2 most important things to consider when filling out your bracket: Better Seeds win 71% of the time the first weekend, and at a...

Ball State 34 vs. Akron (+11) 22 Miami OH (-7) vs. Ohio 25 EMU (+9.5) 22 vs Toledo 28 CMU 19 vs. WMU (-9) 31 NIU 32 vs. Kent St (-3.5)...

Troy 20 vs. Coastal (-19) 42 USF 20 vs. ECU (-8) 28 Navy (+7.5) 19 vs. Tulsa 25 UNLV 17 vs. Nevada (-19.5) 42 Saturday: Cincy 41 vs....